How can Derek Mackay provide information that he doesn’t have? How can there be any realistic scenario planning when there are so many variables and so much uncertainty as to what the UK Government is going to do?
Scenario planning is, effectively, planning for things that may never happen. That’s OK if there are a limited number of possibilities. But what resources would have to be diverted to even superficial planning for the myriad possible directions in which things might go in the wake of the EU referendum result and the installation of a new UK Government without an election and hence without a manifesto to at least give some indication of policy direction?
It is already clear that Theresa May is intent on ditching much of her predecessor’s ‘legacy’. But we have no way of knowing what will be put in its place. Even Theresa May herself seems uncertain, as her dithering and eventual capitulation over Hinckley Point demonstrates. Multiply that uncertainty a thousandfold and you’re still nowhere near describing the uncertainty associated with the UK’s totally unplanned exit from the EU.
How might scenario planning be feasible under such circumstances? The proliferation of conditions and caveats would make any such forward planning utterly meaningless.
The British parties at Holyrood will, of course, bleat and snipe. But as you listen to whinging British nationalist ideologues such as Murdo Fraser and James Kelly, bear in mind that it is they who insist we are better off leaving crucial decisions in the hands of the Westminster elite. It is they who demand that vital powers be withheld from the Scottish Parliament. It is they who want the union at any cost.
However the British media might spin it, what the finance committee is highlighting here is, not any failing on the part of Derek Mackay, but part of the price that we pay for clinging to the archaic, anachronistic, dysfunctional political union.Views: 2050
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